Overreaching Democrats vs Overreaching Trumplicans

Divided Government is coming back… But how divided will it get?

It’s Midterm election eve and our last post was almost two years ago. In that post we discussed and analyzed how the Georgia results would determine partisan control of the Senate and have consequences in future elections.

Here we are, two years later, hours before the midterm election, and we are again discussing and analyzing how the Georgia results will determine partisan control of the Senate and the consequences for future elections.

“It’s Deja Vu all over again.” So we’ll again be pulling from relevant past work and predicting the future.

That Was Then. This Is Now.

Let’s start with some excerpts from that December 30, 2020 post - “Georgia On My Mind — Preference & Prediction”:

“The three possible outcomes stack ranked in order of Dividist preference:

1. Divided Government with a 1 seat GOP Senate majority.

2. Divided Government with a 2 seat GOP Senate majority.

3. Unified One Party Rule Democratic Government with VP Harris tiebreaker.

While the result of the Georgia election was the Dividist’s 3rd choice of the 3 possibilities, the Dividist was nonplussed by that outcome:

“The Dividist will not be too…